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JOHN RUBINO'SLATEST BOOK |
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"MELT-UP MONITOR " Meltup Monitor: FLOWS - The Currency Cartel Carry Cycle - 09 Dec 2013 Meltup Monitor: FLOWS - Liquidity, Credit & Debt - 04 Dec 2013 Meltup Monitor: Euro Pressure Going Critical - 28- Nov 2013 Meltup Monitor: A Regression-to-the-Exponential Mean Required - 25 Nov 2013
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"DOW 20,000 " Lance Roberts Charles Hugh Smith John Rubino Bert Dohman & Ty Andros � |
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Currency Wars
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"Currency Wars "
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"SULTANS OF SWAP" archives open ACT II ACT III ALSO Sultans of Swap: Fearing the Gearing! Sultans of Swap: BP Potentially More Devistating than Lehman! |
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"EURO EXPERIMENT"
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ARCHIVES�
| NOVEMBER | ||||||
| S | M | T | W | T | F | S |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
| 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
| 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
| 29 | 30 | � | � | � | � | � |
KEY TO TIPPING POINTS |
| 1- Bond Bubble |
| 2 - Risk Reversal |
| 3 - Geo-Political Event |
| 4 - China Hard Landing |
| 5 - Japan Debt Deflation Spiral |
| 6- EU Banking Crisis |
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| 7- Sovereign Debt Crisis |
| 8 - Shrinking Revenue Growth Rate |
| 9 - Chronic Unemployment |
| 10 - US Stock Market Valuations |
| 11 - Global Governance Failure |
| 12 - Chronic Global Fiscal ImBalances |
| 13 - Growing Social Unrest |
| 14 - Residential Real Estate - Phase II |
| 15 - Commercial Real Estate |
| 16 - Credit Contraction II |
| 17- State & Local Government |
| 18 - Slowing Retail & Consumer Sales |
| 19 - US Reserve Currency |
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| 20 - US Dollar Weakness |
| 21 - Financial Crisis Programs Expiration |
| 22 - US Banking Crisis II |
| 23 - China - Japan Regional Conflict |
| 24 - Corruption |
| 25 - Public Sentiment & Confidence |
| 26 - Food Price Pressures |
| 27 - Global Output Gap |
| 28 - Pension - Entitlement Crisis |
| 29 - Central & Eastern Europe |
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| 30 - Terrorist Event |
| 31 - Pandemic / Epidemic | 32 - Rising Inflation Pressures & Interest Pressures |
| 33 - Resource Shortage |
| 34 - Cyber Attack or Complexity Failure |
| 35 - Corporate Bankruptcies |
| 36 - Iran Nuclear Threat |
| 37- Finance & Insurance Balance Sheet Write-Offs |
| 38- Government Backstop Insurance |
| 39 - Oil Price Pressures |
| 40 - Natural Physical Disaster |
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TODAY'S TIPPING POINTS
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HOTTEST TIPPING POINTS |
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We post throughout the day as we do our Investment Research for: LONGWave - UnderTheLens - Macro
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MOST CRITICAL TIPPING POINT ARTICLES TODAY � |
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THE CORE TENETS OF THE AUSTRIAN SCHOOL OF ECONOMICS FRA Co-Founder, Gordon T. Long interviewed Robert Blumen, noted follower of the Austrian School of Economics, on the Core Tenets of the Austrian School and the Key Elements for investing in an Era of Financial Repression. CORE TENETS 1.�All economic understanding must be based on individual action 24.�Austrian business cycle theory – the theory of unsustainable booms drive by fractional reserve banking and central banking.
25.�Deflation:
26.�An Austrian understanding of recessions and depressions through Say’s Law, entrepreneurship, and market price theory � KEY ELEMENTS IN AN ERA OF FINANCIAL REPRESSION 1.�Entrepreneurs create wealth by employing scarce resources in production within the context of the price system. ��� This requires real markets with real prices. 2.�Central planning can not replace market prices. 3.�Central bankers have it backwards.� Counter-cyclical policies create the business cycle. 4.�Interest is not a number you can set to anything you like for “policy” reasons.� It is a price and it cannot be zero. 5.�Attempting to keep interest rates at zero creates unsustainable distortions in the productive part of the economy.� 6.�Something that is unsustainable must stop� - at some point. 7.�In the end there are two choices – market prices or destruction of the monetary system 8.�Investors think in terms of money, but money itself is unstable. 9.�The path from fake prices to real prices will be difficult. �
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| MOST CRITICAL TIPPING POINT ARTICLES THIS WEEK - Nov. 8th, 2015 - Nov 14th, 2015 | � | � | � |
| BOND BUBBLE | � | � | 1 |
| RISK REVERSAL - WOULD BE MARKED BY: Slowing Momentum, Weakening Earnings, Falling Estimates | � | � | 2 |
| RISK REVERSAL - WOULD BE MARKED BY: Slowing Momentum, Weakening Earnings, Falling Estimates | 10-29-15 | GLOBAL RISK SIGNALS | 2 |
| GEO-POLITICAL EVENT | � | � | 3 |
| CHINA BUBBLE | � | � | 4 |
| JAPAN - DEBT DEFLATION | � | � | 5 |
EU BANKING CRISIS |
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| MACRO News Items of Importance - This Week | |||
GLOBAL MACRO REPORTS & ANALYSIS |
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US ECONOMIC REPORTS & ANALYSIS |
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| CENTRAL BANKING MONETARY POLICIES, ACTIONS & ACTIVITIES | � | � | � |
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| Market | |||
| TECHNICALS & MARKET | � |
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| COMMODITY CORNER - AGRI-COMPLEX | � | PORTFOLIO | � |
| SECURITY-SURVEILANCE COMPLEX | � | PORTFOLIO | � |
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| THESIS - Mondays Posts on Financial Repression & Posts on Thursday as Key Updates Occur | |||
| 2015 - FIDUCIARY FAILURE | 2015 | THESIS 2015 | ![]() |
| 2014 - GLOBALIZATION TRAP | 2014 | ![]() |
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| THEMES - Normally a Thursday Themes Post & a Friday Flows Post | |||
I - POLITICAL |
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| CENTRAL PLANNING - SHIFTING ECONOMIC POWER - STATISM | � | THEME | � |
- - CORRUPTION & MALFEASANCE - MORAL DECAY - DESPERATION, SHORTAGES. |
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| - - SECURITY-SURVEILLANCE COMPLEX - STATISM | M | THEME | � |
| - - CATALYSTS - FEAR (POLITICALLY) & GREED (FINANCIALLY) | G | THEME | � |
II-ECONOMIC |
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| GLOBAL RISK | � | � | � |
| - GLOBAL FINANCIAL IMBALANCE - FRAGILITY, COMPLEXITY & INSTABILITY | G | THEME | � |
| - - SOCIAL UNREST - INEQUALITY & A BROKEN SOCIAL CONTRACT | US | THEME | � |
| - - ECHO BOOM - PERIPHERAL PROBLEM | M | THEME | � |
| - -GLOBAL GROWTH & JOBS CRISIS | � | � | � |
| - - - PRODUCTIVITY PARADOX - NATURE OF WORK | � | THEME | MACRO w/ CHS |
| - - - STANDARD OF LIVING - EMPLOYMENT CRISIS, SUB-PRIME ECONOMY | US | THEME | MACRO w/ CHS |
| STANDARD OF LIVING - SUB-PRIME ECONOMY | US | THEME | MACRO w/ CHS |
III-FINANCIAL |
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| FLOWS -FRIDAY FLOWS | MATA RISK ON-OFF |
THEME | |
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| CRACKUP BOOM - ASSET BUBBLE | � | THEME | � |
| SHADOW BANKING - LIQUIDITY / CREDIT ENGINE | M | THEME | � |
| GENERAL INTEREST | � |
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| STRATEGIC INVESTMENT INSIGHTS - Weekend Coverage | |||
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