Our Global Regional analysis continues to show a deteriorating global economic picture with the anticipated significant macro surprises now occurrring. Stability and complacency are beginning to appear 'out of place'.
We have witnessed energy prices plummeting over the last 90 days to values below breakevens for many in the US Shale Oil Industry, the Canadian Oil Sands and OPEC / Non-OPEC countires. This is a major de-stabilizing event, with the Russian economy now clearly bordering on crisis. Like a tsunamic the waves are still washing ashore.
As if this wasn't sufficient, we then have the sudden abandonment of the Swiss Franc peg which came completely unexpectantly. This has sent another shock wave globally with the Danish, Hong Kong and Singapore pegs ppearing to be under pressure.
The world had barely adjusted to Japan going "all in" with ABE-nomics and QQE levels never before imagined. Then the EU announces a 1.1 Trillion Euro QE program as Greece elects an anti EU government on a platform of not accepting the bailouts and their terms.
Excess debt levels and a resulting global slowdown is at the root of most of these issues as economies resort to currency intervention with "beggar-thy-neighbor" policies. If China retaliates due to comptitive pressures on the Yuan the world may face yet another and even more serious Tsunami.
The financial markets in the US have been disconnected from fundamentals and driven by Federal Reserve liquidity injections for some time now. The risk is high with TAPER now complete.
How many more shocks can the world stand before something breaks ... somewhere??
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MACRO WATCH with RICHARD DUNCAN
The ONLY Effective Tool Available for Investors in our new world of Central Bank Liquidity to fully Understand FLOWS: Liquidity,Credit & Debt
HOME of the "LIQUIDITY GAUGE"
The definitive source for:
MACRO FLOWS: Liquidity, Credit & Debt
Macro Watch is a video newsletter published quarterly by Richard Duncan. It analyzes trends in credit growth, liquidity and government policy in order to anticipate their impact on economic activity and asset prices.
In this new age of fiat money, credit growth drives economic growth, liquidity determines the direction of asset prices and the government controls both through aggressive policy intervention.
Macro Watch analyzes trends in credit growth, liquidity and government policy with the goal of anticipating economic developments and their impact on the financial markets.
Macro Watch is a video newsletter published four times a year by Richard Duncan. Each issue contains original analysis pertaining to economic and financial developments as they unfold.
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Gordon T Long is not a registered advisor and does not give investment advice. His comments are an expression of opinion only and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as recommendations to buy or sell a stock, option, future, bond, commodity or any other financial instrument at any time. Of course, he recommends that you consult with a qualified investment advisor, one licensed by appropriate regulatory agencies in your legal jurisdiction, before making any investment decisions, and barring that, we encourage you confirm the facts on your own before making important investment commitments.
THE CONTENT OF ALL MATERIALS: SLIDE PRESENTATION AND THEIR ACCOMPANYING RECORDED AUDIO DISCUSSIONS, VIDEO PRESENTATIONS, NARRATED SLIDE PRESENTATIONS AND WEBZINES (hereinafter "The Media") ARE INTENDED FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY.
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