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"Extend & Pretend" Read the Series...

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"SULTANS OF SWAP"
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ACT I
Sultans of Swap: Smoking Guns!

 

"EURO EXPERIMENT"
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EURO EXPERIMENT: German Steel or Schmucks?

"UR all PIGS from HELL

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Current Thesis Advisory:
"EXTEND & PRETEND"

PDF, 62 pages
Published November 2009


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"INNOVATION"
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INNOVATION: America has a Structural Problem!

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"PRESERVE & PROTECT"
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PRESERVE & PROTECT:  The Jaws of Death

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2014 THESIS: GLOBALIZATION TRAP

RELEASED Jaunary 15th, 2014 to our Regular and Trial Subscribers

 


What Are Tipping Poinits?
Understanding Abstraction & Synthesis
Global-Macro in Images:  Understanding the Conclusions

         

KEY TO TIPPING POINTS

1- EU Banking Crisis
2- Sovereign Debt Crisis
3 - China Hard Landing
4 - Risk Reversal
5 - Social Unrest
6 - Geo-Political Event
7 - Chronic Unemployment
8 - Global Governance Failure
9 - Chronic Global Fiscal ImBalances
 
10 - US Banking Crisis II
11- Bond Bubble
12 - Residential Real Estate - Phase II
13 - Commercial Real Estate
14 - Japan Debt Deflation Spiral
15 - Central & Eastern Europe
16- State & Local Government
17 - Rising Inflation Pressures &Interest Pressures
18 - Food Price Pressures
19 - Oil Price Pressures
 
20 - Credit Contraction II
21 - Corruption
22 - Shrinking Revenue Growth Rate
23 - Pension - Entitlement Crisis
24 - Corporate Bankruptcies
25- Finance & Insurance Balance Sheet Write-Offs
26 - US Stock Market Valuations
27- Government Backstop Insurance
 
28 - Iran Nuclear Threat
29 - Resource Shortage
30 - Global Output Gap
31 - US Reserve Currency
32 - Public Sentiment & Confidence
33 - US Dollar Weakness
34 - Slowing Retail & Consumer Sales
35 - North & South Korea
36 - Financial Crisis Programs Expiration
37 - Natural Physical Disaster
38 - Cyber Attack or Complexity Failure
39 - Terrorist Event
40 - Pandemic / Epidemic

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Additional Inter-Issue Updates for Currencies and FOREX markets. As with the S&P updates received with Plan 2, Plan3 identifies the Market Driver, Triggers and High Probability Target Zones on Daily and Hourly time scales for the additional markets listed.

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HOME of the "LIQUIDITY GAUGE"

The definitive source for:

MACRO FLOWS: Liquidity, Credit & Debt 

 

Macro Watch is a video newsletter published quarterly by Richard Duncan. It analyzes trends in credit growth, liquidity and government policy in order to anticipate their impact on economic activity and asset prices.

Macro Watch 

In this new age of fiat money, credit growth drives economic growth, liquidity determines the direction of asset prices and the government controls both through aggressive policy intervention.

Macro Watch analyzes trends in credit growth, liquidity and government policy with the goal of anticipating economic developments and their impact on the financial markets.

Macro Watch is a video newsletter published four times a year by Richard Duncan.  Each issue contains original analysis pertaining to economic and financial developments as they unfold.

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Gordon T Long is not a registered advisor and does not give investment advice. His comments are an expression of opinion only and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as recommendations to buy or sell a stock, option, future, bond, commodity or any other financial instrument at any time. Of course, he recommends that you consult with a qualified investment advisor, one licensed by appropriate regulatory agencies in your legal jurisdiction, before making any investment decisions, and barring that, we encourage you confirm the facts on your own before making important investment commitments.

THE CONTENT OF ALL MATERIALS:  SLIDE PRESENTATION AND THEIR ACCOMPANYING RECORDED AUDIO DISCUSSIONS, VIDEO PRESENTATIONS, NARRATED SLIDE PRESENTATIONS AND WEBZINES (hereinafter "The Media") ARE INTENDED FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY.

The Media is not a solicitation to trade or invest, and any analysis is the opinion of the author and is not to be used or relied upon as investment advice. Trading and investing  can involve substantial risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future returns/results. Commentary is only the opinions of the authors and should not to be used for investment decisions. You must carefully examine the risks associated with investing of any sort and whether investment programs are suitable for you. You should never invest or consider investments without a complete set of disclosure documents, and should consider the risks prior to investing. The Media is not in any way a substitution for disclosure. Suitability of investing decisions rests solely with the investor. Your acknowledgement of this Disclosure and Terms of Use Statement is a condition of access to it.  Furthermore, any investments you may make are your sole responsibility. 

THERE IS RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING AND INVESTING OF ANY KIND. PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS.

Gordon emperically recommends that you consult with a qualified investment advisor, one licensed by appropriate regulatory agencies in your legal jurisdiction, before making any investment decisions, and barring that, he  encourages you confirm the facts on your own before making important investment commitments.
  

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Information herein was obtained from sources which Mr. Long believes reliable, but he does not guarantee its accuracy. None of the information, advertisements, website links, or any opinions expressed constitutes a solicitation of the purchase or sale of any securities or commodities.

Please note that Mr. Long may already have invested or may from time to time invest in securities that are discussed or otherwise covered on this website. Mr. Long does not intend to disclose the extent of any current holdings or future transactions with respect to any particular security. You should consider this possibility before investing in any security based upon statements and information contained in any report, post, comment or recommendation you receive from him.

 

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