WHAT ARE TIPPING POINTS?
They are worldwide events and trends that are of global economic importance - specifically to investors.
Six days a week, Gordon's proprietary search engine scours worldwide news and commentary bringing you the most important news intelligence you should be reading to be a knowledgable and well-informed investor.
Today's Tipping Points >>
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ABSTRACTION & SYNTHESIS
It is here where the real elbow grease is applied. Through the processes of ABSTRACTION and SYNTHESIS Gordon delivers numerous series of commentary which pull Tipping Points together into logical, macro-economic trends and themes which are or will be effecting his readers.
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Preserve & Protect
Extend & Pretend
Sultans of Swap
You have more data analysis than anyone else writing.
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KEY: The Research Process
KEY: Understanding The Conclusions - Global-Macro in Pictures
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MACRO ECONOMIC & RISK ANALYSIS
DECEMBER 2013: GLOBAL MACRO TIPPING POINT - (Subscription Plan III)
POLITICAL PARALYSIS * FAILURE - A Global Governanace Failure
We believe the unresolved banking crisis in the EU will soon raise its head again. This time it will be with more vengeance. The catalyst for the crisis is in the CEE (Central & Eastern Europe).
This month’s coverage of the Emerging Markets is extensive. This is because we see the global problems starting in the peripheral nations (as it did in the EU) and working towards the core. We are seeing this in the BRICS, the Fragile Five and fully expect to see it soon in the CEE. All of these nations are the recipients of the massive printing of money and credit creation by the Currency Cartel (US, EU, Japan & UK) and China. The peripheral nations of the world are simply unable to contain the financial pressures this is igniting.
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NOVEMBER 2013: MONTHLY MARKET COMMENTARY (Subscription Plan II)
The Fragile 5 & CEE - The Peripheral Echo Boom Ahead
The Global Peripheral economies and specifically the Fragile Five (Brazil, India, Indonesia, Turkey and South Africa) have a paper problem! With the shell game of global growth nearing its end, the grandest 'check kiting' scheme in history is beginning to come apart in the peripheral nations of the world. It was only a matter of time. Most critically, the resulting “Echo Boom” will ricochet towards the global core in 2014.
A SHELL GAME
We all realize trees don't grow to the sky because they become unstable when the physics of balance becomes statistically impossible. The proverbial butterfly's wings can bring it crashing to earth, as likewise a nervous reaction to "TAPER" can become a similarly triggering event to unstable global peripheral economies.
If it hadn't been for three stunning developments occurring immediately following the G20 meeting in St Petersburg, Russia, the economic unwinding in the Emerging Markets, which was well underway and rapidly gaining momentum, would have quickly washed ashore in the developed economies. The urgent selling of currency reserves held in US Treasuries to stabilize Emerging Market currencies was swiftly becoming problematic. The resulting rise in the developed economy interest rates, such as US Treasury rates, was nearing worrying structural levels.
The following choreographed news announcements successfully reworked the global calculus at least temporarily:
MARKET ANALYTICS & TECHNO-FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
NOVEMBER 2013: MARKET ANALYTICS & TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - (Subscription Plan IV)
MAJOR INTERMEDIATE TOP LIKELY IN
Expect the Long-Term Top in Early Q2 2014
(IF Yellen & Central Banks act in the coordinated manner which we are presently anticpating.
November has witnessed the markets continuing higher as Wall Street and the financial markets disconnect from mainstreet and valuation fundamentals. There is mounting evidence that the financial markets are in the beginning stages of a von Misess "Crackup Boom" in equity asset prices. We expect increasing volatility and fear to offer a near term corrective / consolidation before heading higher into a Year End "Santa Claus" Rally.
The final resolution to the October Washington wrangling on Budget and Debt Ceiling posturing wais to "Kick the Can" down the road another 4 months. Political positions have become so entrenched that Washington may not be able to resolve budget issues and the Q1 2014 resolution date may turn into a global event! Assuming, the slowing global economy doesn't force the Central Bankers to act sooner.
We expect to see new market highs by Q2 2014 based on a Globally Coordinated Central Bank Monetary intervention. To-date they have not been officially coordinated. The global economy is rapidly slowing and the US is likely in or very near a recession (using real economic numbers). The realization of a potential US recession will soon force central bank action as the realization begins to scares the markets.
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See Complete LIBRARY. Go to MACRO ANALYTICS for Videos with Abstracts
RECENT "INSIGHT" ARTICLES
LATEST ANALYTIC INSIGHT ARTICLES
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MONETARY MALPRACTICE SERIES
SAMPLING OF 2013 PUBLIC VIDEO RELEASES
2013 RESEARCH ARTICLES TOO LONG FOR PUBLIC SYNDICATION (.pdf)
SAMPLING OF 2012 PUBLIC ARTICLES
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