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REDUX: Beware the Ides of March!
Updated from the January 2013 Trigger$ Edition
Friday was the Ides of March. In January based on our Fibonacci Ellipses as published in "Beware the Ides of March" , we forcasted that the S&P 500 would rise to 1562 on March 15th, 2013. The result on the Ides of March was 1563.62. Clearly our little practiced tool of Fibonacci Ellipses must be reckoned with!
We were very specific when we spelled out the following:
NICE CALL , BUT WHAT IS NEXT?
We now expect a period of SIGNIFIGANTLY heighted volatility between the Ides of March and mid April. This is expected based on the achievement of our Fibonacci Time Extensions as we complete the right shoulder of our Head and Shoulder pattern.
THE 18 MONTH VIEW- A MAJOR LONG TERM RIGHT SHOULDER FORMATION PATTERN
FIBONACCI TIME EXTENSIONS
Our original MACRO ANALYTICS timing predictions (shown below) were based on our Fibonacci Time Extensions. This is a separate analysis from Fibonacci Ellipses but must 'plug' or we fail the test of symmetry which chaos and fractal theory dictate. We have a a very tight correlation that in turn matches fibonacci clusters and Bradley turn cycle dates.
Defining Chart #1 - "Delusional Distortion" Expectations
We drew "Defining Chart #1" below in early summer 2012, based on our expectations for Monetary Policy responses to weakening global growth. Our September call for QE3 and a 'Bazooka' out of the ECB proved accurate as we head towards our upper H".
Defining Chart #2 - Long Term
Our proprietary analytics are strongly showing the potential for higher nominal highs through the convergence and alignment of a number of technical studies.
LIKELY ENDING MEGAPHONE PATTERNS
Defining Chart #3 - Short Term
Our current chart formation reflects the Right Shoulder of a Head and Shoulders pattern, which is itself the Right Shoulder of a major Long Term Head & Shoulders formation.
Here is OUR CURRENT CHART
We expect a major scare in Q2 2013 with a counter rally in later 2013 based on unprecedented globally coordinated central bank monetization as part of post Quantitative Easing called OMF (Overt Monetary Funding). View our latest video: "The MACRO ANALYTICS: A TECHNICAL UPDATE".
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Gordon T Long
Gordon T Long is not a registered advisor and does not give investment advice. His comments are an expression of opinion only and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as recommendations to buy or sell a stock, option, future, bond, commodity or any other financial instrument at any time. While he believes his statements to be true, they always depend on the reliability of his own credible sources. Of course, he recommends that you consult with a qualified investment advisor, one licensed by appropriate regulatory agencies in your legal jurisdiction, before making any investment decisions, and barring that you are encouraged to confirm the facts on your own before making important investment commitments.
© Copyright 2013 Gordon T Long. The information herein was obtained from sources which Mr. Long believes reliable, but he does not guarantee its accuracy. None of the information, advertisements, website links, or any opinions expressed constitutes a solicitation of the purchase or sale of any securities or commodities. Please note that Mr. Long may already have invested or may from time to time invest in securities that are recommended or otherwise covered on this website. Mr. Long does not intend to disclose the extent of any current holdings or future transactions with respect to any particular security. You should consider this possibility before investing in any security based upon statements and information contained in any report, post, comment or suggestions you receive from him.